At least the pet duck enjoyed it
When we moved into our house, we first realised the problem when the mortgage company said we needed flood insurance, and discovered that would cost ten times the normal building and contents policy.
Until a smarter insurance company here sold us a cheaper policy based on postcode (in other words, by group of two or three houses), not Environment Agency flood areas: they spotted a market opportunity for a more precise risk assessment. Smug us!
Until six years later, and the house actually did flood.
And four years on, in late 2024, the water came to our front door twice, and overtopped the sand bags the second time.
And the risk of flooding in England is predicted to increase five-fold in the next decades under current projections for global warming.
However, Newport Pagnell is not Miami.
To be clear, our flooding is due to rain, and living next to where two rivers meet. Unfortunate timing of river surges – or someone getting the timing off on floodgates. We are nowhere near the sea and don’t get hurricanes, and so far the extent of our flooding is a few inches of water at the front of the house.
A few houses flooding a bit: you start thinking about resale values, and whether getting wet every year or so will do the brick walls and wood floorboards any good.
In South Florida, they face losing whole towns to the sea and the swamps. Many people live only a few feet above current sea levels, and the infrastructure is similarly low and at risk. They have to worry about overwhelmed sewerage systems and nuclear power plants.
Florida has such a tax-averse politics that it will come down to money for school education versus money for flood action soon for some towns. They continue to build right up to the sea and in areas only just above sea level, even as they watch the hurricanes track towards them. And of course the ruling Republicans also mostly deny climate change.
It would seem a perfect storm of human inability to face the facts.
But it is striking just how much of an issue it is for infrastructure. And that involves use of tax dollars, national insurance schemes, building codes, politics and Politics: so much more than simply technical questions.
Do we speak the right language/s to manage this?
Just a reflection on our own institutions.
I have been involved with the IAM on and off for almost 25 years. I attended Asset Management Council meetings and conferences (under different names) when I lived and worked in Australia in the 2000s. I have been impressed by the IPWEA since someone brought back a copy of the IIMM to the UK around 2001. My boss was instrumental in setting up the GFMAM.
These are just the most obvious AM institutions. (But shout out to Canadian AM networking here, too.)
They have not always been particularly friendly to each other, but at roughly 30 years old at their oldest, we seem to have developed some institutional maturity.
I was heartened to realise that, for all its limits – well delineated by Richard Edwards and others at the recent IAM UK conference – the revisions and new ISO 55000 documents involved hugely more people this time around.
The IAM itself has grown and now functions in more European and Asian countries, as well as succeeding in the USA; it has a truly excellent CEO in Ursula Bryan. I love the IPWEA ‘Ask Your Mates’, the kind of practical support we need from out networking.
But perhaps the best sign of all was a workshop last month on ‘Peak Infrastructure?’. A room full of Asset Managers asking what infrastructure we really need. And how there is work still to be done to make a lasting difference. Changing national government policies not to incentivise (or give in to developers and construction companies) building new when we can maintain what we have.
All physical assets come at a cost, often a very steep one in impact on the environment and communities. We have to take the lead to make sure we understand costs versus benefits.
That’s the real question when we get together as Asset Managers.
*IAM: Institute of Asset Management, HQ in UK. IPWEA: Institute of Public Works Engineering Australasia. GFMAM: Global Forum on Maintenance and Asset Management, established by the IAM, Asset Management Council and others. Asset Management Council in Australia. Canadian Network of Asset Managers, plus Provincial AM networks such as AMBC and AMOntario.
At this end of 2024, I am more convinced than ever that the whole point of Asset Management is Planning.
Planning, as opposed to delivery – which we have been doing for decades, if not centuries. Asset Management is about thinking through what we need to deliver across our asset base, Plan before Do. (Don’t just do something, sit there.)
That is what Penny created Asset Management for.
And the central concept was lifecycle modelling, supported by cost-risk-optimisation, matched to understanding demand. When is the right time to replace, renew, maintain? What don’t we need to do?
The AMP has been the centre of Asset Management since the very beginning. As captured in state and federal requirements, as documented in the International Infrastructure Management Manual from the IPWEA.
We need Planning – and it is not going to happen without us.
But it is too often still – after 40 years! – fragmentary, driven by vested interests (even the understandable wish by people on the ground to get money for their own assets).
It doesn’t look at what happens next: ‘And then what?’
And I can count the organisations I work with that actually do lifecycle cost modelling or cost-risk optimisation on the fingers of two hands.
To do the maths on all the major costs, risks and benefits of different options across the lifecycle, and demonstrate that (for example) building back rural roads like for like after they have been washed away for the fourth time in five years simply doesn’t add up.
Time for a Campaign for Honest Asset Management Planning?
Among my personal highs and lows of 2024, the standout experience was going to Japan.
I am sorry to say I have never encountered a Japanese Asset Manager, but thanks to GFMAM I got to hear a rep from the Japanese maintenance societies at the IAM UK conference in London last month.
Despite what we hear about its economy, the country is still doing very well on total maintenance and quality in manufacturing. Some days it seems every other car on our roads is a Toyota.
And my overriding sense of Japan? That along with the incredible food and gardens and manufacturing, it’s simply the most sensible society I have ever seen.
Starting with the toilets at Tokyo airport when we arrived.
I have long suspected the most important thing about Asset Management is that it is sensible. Don’t spend where you don’t need to, but do what you must to sustain what we need to thrive. Don’t preach growth for its own sake, and be wary of ‘innovation’ (think of ‘the Maintainers’ and their 2020 book The Innovation Delusion*). What does the evidence tell us? What risks are we really running with our assets? Cut through the lobbying and classical economics – and make sensible decisions.
Sensible is not necessarily glamorous; AM is not glamorous. It doesn’t pander to fantasies, of engineering or entrepreneurs.
As several Western countries seem to lose the plot, even caught up in what can only be described as fascist dreams, it was wonderful to experience somewhere that has a much stronger sense of its limits. A lot of people in a limited space, and some of that physical space quite dodgy: how can we organise food, rub along with millions of strangers without pulling guns on each other, love nature (trees!), create beautiful things? Value education, and don’t take our gods too seriously.
Take what we need, and reject what we don’t.
Yes, I am hopelessly romantic about Japan, ever since my father worked there when I was a child. But I didn’t expect to come away with sensible.
PS not sure I will ever be happy with cold toilet seats again.
* The Innovation Delusion: How Our Obsession with the New Has Disrupted the Work That Matters Most
Note: Japan, like many countries including the UK, USA, China and France, not to mention Germany and Russia, has some dismal history. Unlike some of those countries, it appears to be able to learn from its past, but this is not to excuse its treatment of Korea and China and prisoners of war in the past.
In the perennial tussle between the thinkers and the doers, I must confess that I have always been impatient with those who want to ‘get out and do’ before they have ‘sat back and thought’. They have been just as impatient with me!
I now realise that we are both motivated by the same goal – we want to avoid wasting our time.
Since I have confidence in my ability to design a suitable operational system to meet any objective, once I clearly know what that objective is, I avoid wasting time tackling the wrong objectives by sitting back and thinking about it.
The practical doers of this world do not want to waste their time thinking about objectives that may be “all very fine but not operational”. So they first insist that I show them that it can be done; then, and only then, will they be prepared to consider whether it should be done.
Recognising our common pressures, I will try to get less frustrated next time I encounter this reaction – and patiently explain ‘how’, even though I really want to get straight onto the ‘why’.
Today we seemingly all accept that we are short of time and thus feel constrained to give short shift to thought and planning. But how much of this lack of time is self-induced? How often do we need to re-do what we did in haste? Or spend time working around the problems that the haste engendered?.
Whichever camp you fall into – the thinkers or the do-ers – how do you cope with the frustration of dealing with ‘the other’ ?
I have just been to the 30 year celebration of the Institute of Asset Management (IAM) in London, where we also marked ten years of ISO 55000. This was held jointly with the Global Forum on Maintenance and Asset Management (GFMAM) – representing AM and AM-minded maintenance societies worldwide – with representatives from IPWEA and the Asset Management Council. A time to reflect as well as celebrate!
Russ Seiler of Grant Public Utility District (one of the Columbia River hydro utilities in the Pacific North West) reflected on his journey since 2016. Starting from scratch as an Asset Management lead, under Russ the team at Grant has looked at asset inventory, Wave 1, and the absence of basic asset data. It then focused on the AM ‘system’, as in ISO 55000, and the idea of building AM artefacts. (Wave one-and-a-half?) But, encouraged by Penny’s 2023 book on the beginnings of AM, he realised that neither were really the point.
His conclusion after seven years? “If your asset management program never affects the money being spent on assets, your program should and will be terminated.” AM creates the machine that produces the plan, a better plan for the assets. Everything else is just a means to that end.
It’s the AMP process, ok.
I have trained many 1000s in the last 14 years, in the USA and elsewhere. And that’s what I have found, too. Too many get caught up in asset data – which is important, sure – and documents such as the AM Policy and SAMP, which are also important. But that is never what Penny meant by Asset Management.
And ‘plan’ doesn’t just mean what proactive maintenance you should do, or what you need to spend capital on to sustain your existing asset base. It’s also what if any new infrastructure we require. It’s whole of life and system-wide. It’s big.
Have we been tinkering at the edges while the world changes around us?
Now that we have a great many courses and various trainings in asset management it is tempting to say that all asset managers should be ‘qualified’. But thinking about this I reflected on my own experience, starting from nothing, and I also remembered an interesting dinner one night when a colleague reported that his daughter had an ambition to be an asset manager like him.
“You can only do what I do, if you do what I did” replied her father, explaining that his daughter would need to do an engineering degree and further study as he had done.
“Is that really true?” asked his wife, who had home-schooled their extremely bright children. “Could she not learn by observation and questioning and work her way up from simple to more complex tasks? That is the way she has learnt everything else!”
You and me and, indeed, many asset managers have learnt much of their asset management this way. It is only within the last ten or fifteen years that we have started to teach the processes and techniques of asset management – in seminars, workshops, and in formal education.
Some of you would have a graduate degree in engineering, others would have come up through a background of construction, maintenance, finance, or property development/ management and may, or may not, have formal tertiary qualifications.
A couple of the best asset managers I have known had qualifications — but in nursing! One became Director of Capital Works in a Health Commission, the other an extremely practical policy director in the Commonwealth Government. They really understood the concept of service.
Or consider the Asset Manager I lunched with, who designed and published much sought after practical guidelines in asset management, decision making and life cycle costing, all without the background of a formal degree – just an inquiring mind, the interest to read widely, and the wit to apply what he read. He was, moreover, able to teach these techniques to others who also had no formal training and to design policy that encouraged their use. Now that IS an Asset Manager!
When we consider the number of excellent engineers we know, great at ‘doing’ things, but with little real interest in decision-making, then we would have to conclude that an engineering background may be useful but it is neither necessary nor sufficient.
“But surely we have to have properly qualified people?” Sure, but how do you qualify people to look for better ways to do what has always been done, indeed, better ways to do what they, themselves, have been taught to do? Qualifications and ability are not synonymous. We need to be more flexible and mandating certain qualifications or training will only hinder flexibility.
So yes, keep learning, get qualifications, but in a fast changing world, no set of qualifications can be allowed to be a stopping place. Or to stop us
In 2004 (Feb 14, The Buzz) ABC’s Radio National broadcast an interesting interview with an American post graduate student whose research work caused major security concerns, so much so that Richard Clarke, former White House cyberterrorism chief, declared that it should be burnt!
What did the student do to create such antagonism at security levels?
Critical Infrastructure Database
His thesis was on critical infrastructure in the United States, with a focus on information infrastructure. As part of his work in analysing the infrastructure and its vulnerabilities as preparation for determining a set of tools to deal with the vulnerabilities, the student put together an integrated database. The dataset consisted of a large collection of geo-spatial data on where the fibre optic lines were in the country, both long-haul lines that connect cities up, the metropolitan area networks within cities, switching centres and data warehouses that house and direct traffic on the network. The data carried on theses lines included a wide variety of critical sectors in the US economy and global economy including financial transactions, military command and control, emergency response, telephone calls, government communications. “Pretty much everything runs over fibre except for satellite transmissions” he said.
He worked quietly away at his research for a number of years – and by the way all of the data in his database was gathered from the public domain! – until the Washington Post wrote an article about his work, and then things started to get a little heated. Top security people then spoke with his university and wanted to know what security precautions were being taken with the database. The University asked government agencies what security precautions would be taken within their domain and then tried to replicate as best as they could within the university.
Safeguarding the Database.
This is what they did: The graduate explained “The computers that the data is housed on are not connected to any network and are in a secure room behind cipher locks. We have a vault that we take the removeable hard drives to and put them in there for storage.. and things along those lines.”
Integration
What I found interesting about this story is that as long as the data was available in a distributed form, on individual websites all over the country, there was no great hue and cry. Admittedly the student started his research in 1996, which pre-dated Sep 11.
However, the general lesson remains – integrated databases are more valuable because they allow us to do things that distributed databases don’t. In the student’s case it made it possible to analyse national vulnerabilities.
But the very act of integration introduced the biggest vulnerability of all!
Just over 10 years ago Dr Linda Newton (Canada) joined Ruth Wallsgrove, Chris Lloyd, Charles Nelson (England) and myself (Australia) in London in considering the different ways in which AM might develop. The work was then written up in Strategic Asset Management. We were only looking at developed countries then so I thought it worthwhile in asking Linda, who has now had seven years experience in applying the UN Asset Management work in developing countries what has particularly stood out for her.
Musings from Seven Years of Promoting AM in Developing Countries
By Linda Newton, PhD
I have been working with the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UNDESA) for just over seven years now. During this time, we’ve worked with local governments in least developed countries (LDCs) to build their asset management awareness and capacity by delivering workshops based our published handbook Managing Infrastructure Asset for Sustainable Development.
If asked to provide two key takeaways from the workshops, it would be this:
- ‘Strategic’ is simply a point in the future.
- Asset management is best understood when its personalised.
How often do we see the words ‘strategic’, ‘tactical’ and ‘operational’ associated with a specific time frame? For example, many strategic plans cover 3-5 years. Now think about an individual. What does strategic mean to them? It all depends on their personal point of view. For instance, for some individuals, ‘strategic’ could be measured months, ‘tactical’ in weeks, and ‘operational’ in days, or even hours. Which brings me to the second takeaway.
I used to start the workshop by jumping right into asset management definitions and principles. For many, it was a lot of theory with no practical grounding. And then I had an idea – let’s start with personal assets. Almost everyone has, or has had, a bicycle. What comes next – a motorbike and later, perhaps a car? Different assets, delivering the same service (transportation) but at different levels and different costs. What if I used this to explain asset management? And so, ‘What I Can Learn from my Motorbike’ became the focus of the introduction to AM.
These takeaways are not unique to LDCs. Understanding an individual’s perspective and using personal examples helps position strategic asset management in terms that are understood. So, I invite you to take a look at your own organisation. Are people struggling to understand AM? If so, make it personal!
What makes an effective asset management practitioner? Ruth Wallsgrove ,who founded IAM’s Asset Magazine in 2004, recently contributed this opinion piece to the magazine in which she shared some of her experience in working around the globe. Our thanks to IAM for permitting reproduction here.
On the steering group to review the IAM Competences Framework, we discussed the distinction between the things we needed to know about and things we actually have to be able to do for ourselves. That is between what we need to appreciate other people doing, and what we have to take main responsibility for.
A useful way I have found to think about asset management capabilities generally is: what won’t get done if we don’t do it? What key competences should we expect not to be there, if we don’t have them?
This means areas such as IT, Engineering and Finance are fields we should understand, but we don’t necessarily need to have hands-on skills or previous experience in them. There are plenty of other people, other professionals, looking after them.
On the other hand, we have to be the ones to understand good asset management practice, and to communicate this and its benefit across our organisations. Who else could do this? Communication, facilitation and change management of attitudes are often called ‘soft’ skills, but that doesn’t reflect how hard many of us find them in practice.
Information and risk
I have become increasingly interested in in two other areas vital for effective asset management that we cannot depend on anyone else to know how to do. They probably are not there anywhere else in our organisations, especially as applied to physical assets. And they are not in any sense ‘soft’.
First of all, we need to ensure we have the skills to understand what information about our assets can and cannot tell us. This isn’t about IT, data collection or even quality assurance, but about interpreting data. The realm of data science, including statistics, is crucial here. Some of the best asset managers I’ve worked with have exceptional data-analysis skills – some even teach data science at college or have backgrounds in military intelligence. Once you’ve seen a true expert in action, it’s clear that asset management is incomplete without these skills. (It’s a shame that many of us didn’t enjoy statistics in college!)
A second, related area of concern is risk management. The whole realm of managing physical assets has up to now been – well, how can I put this delicately – naive about risk. We still struggle to quantify risk, as if actuaries didn’t exist. The basic issue may not just be that we have been ignorant (and I am talking about myself here), but that we’ve been positively resistant to handling uncertainty.
Embracing uncertainty
Twenty years ago, Ype Wijnia from ProGas in the Netherlands alerted our community to the problem of relying on people who don’t like to work with uncertainty On those whose previous education, and maybe natural preference, leans towards knowing for sure, or relying on rules to give the right answer.
But that just isn’t asset management, it’s all about making decisions and planning for the future. The one thing you can be sure about is that you don’t know everything. You can’t know everything.
We have to ‘embrace uncertainty’, as Chris Lloyd, who previously chaired the IAM work on competences, put it – and use the tools and concepts for managing risk that have been there for years in other professions.
Looking across these key competences, i suspect we’ve relied too much on the skills that individuals bring across from engineering or finance. We’ve lingered too log in our old comfort zones. We should not expect that what we have learnt from previous education and experience is adequate on its own.
We should expect any asset manager to go on learning and exploring areas that may be quite different to what we’ve done before. New tools, new concepts, jumping happily into the unknown.
Curiosity may well be the most important asset management competence of all.
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